Ecocentricity Blog: Probability and Climate Change
Probability and Climate Change
When climate change deniers find new evidence that suggests humans might not be driving climate change, that evidence cannot “disprove” anthropogenic climate change. Instead, the evidence might only slightly reduce its probability.
I was math nerd as a kid. And yes, that explains a lot about me.
I think what originally attracted me to math was the objectivity of the subject. Its rules were solid and unwavering. No matter what, seven minus five equals two. I guess I like consistency.
That might be why I find the mathematical field of probability so curious. It combines the ordinary objectivity of mathematics with uncertainty and chance. What does math say about whether a flipped coin will land on heads? Only that there is a fifty percent chance. It cannot, however, tell you what actually will happen when you flip the coin.
